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EDITORIAL BY GRAYDON FOX

Overview:

On Saturday, November 24th, the (8-3) Kentucky Wildcats will be on the road to take on the (2-9) Louisville Cardinals.

The Crowd:

The Crowd projects a final score of Kentucky 33.8 – Louisville 19.2 with an over/under of 53.1.

Lou Holtz and Mark May:

Lou is predicting a final score of Kentucky 34 – Louisville 17.

Mark is predicting a final score of Kentucky 42 – Louisville 9.

2018-19 Statistics (130 total teams):

Passing offense: Louisville 223.1 YPG (76th) > Kentucky 156.1 YPG (117th)

Rushing offense: Kentucky 188.7 YPG (49th) > Louisville 133.8 YPG (108th)

Scoring offense: Kentucky 23.9 PPG (104th) > Louisville 20.6 PPG (120th)

Scoring defense: Kentucky 16.8 PPG (12th) > Louisville 43.0 PPG (128th)

Passing defense: Kentucky 190.6 YPG (27th) > Louisville 201.3 YPG (36th)

Rushing defense: Kentucky 137.5 YPG (40th) > Louisville 271.5 YPG (125th)

Turnover Margin Per Game: Kentucky +0.1 (59th) > Louisville -1.2 (128th)

Strength of Schedule:

Kentucky is (8-3) with wins over Central Michigan, #25 Florida, Murray State, #14 Mississippi State, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Missouri, and Middle Tennessee.  They were defeated by Texas A&M, #6 Georgia, and Tennessee.

Louisville is (2-9) with victories over Indiana State and Western Kentucky.  They were defeated by #1 Alabama, Virginia, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Boston College, Wake Forest, #2 Clemson, #13 Syracuse, and NC State.

Betting Trends: 

-Kentucky is 4-5-1 against the spread this season while Louisville is 1-9.

-Kentucky is 3-7 against the over/under this season whereas Louisville is 7-3.

Bottom Line:

Louisville is in the midst of a seven-game losing streak and they are allowing the third most points of any team in college football.  Benny Snell Jr. should run wild against a Cardinals defense that is allowing nearly 300 yards rushing per game.  For all the attention on Snell, Kentucky’s defense has quietly been a top 20 unit all season.  Kentucky has fallen off since their hot start to the season, but make no mistake, this will be a Wildcats blowout.

Kentucky wins 36-13

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