EDITORIAL BY GRAYDON FOX

Overview:

On Saturday, November 24^th, the (7-4) Auburn Tigers will be on the road to take on the (11-0) Alabama Crimson Tide.

The Crowd:

The Crowd projects a final score of Alabama 39.2 – Auburn 19.0 with an over/under of 58.3.

Lou Holtz and Mark May:

Lou is predicting a final score of Alabama 46 – Auburn 14.

Mark is predicting a final score of Alabama 51 – Auburn 20.

2018-19 Statistics (130 total teams):

Passing offense: Alabama 328.0 YPG (7^th) > Auburn 214.6 YPG (82^nd)

Rushing offense: Alabama 213.8 YPG (30^th) > Auburn 167.2 YPG (69^th)

Scoring offense: Alabama 48.7 PPG (3^rd) > Auburn 29.8 PPG (76^th)

Scoring defense: Alabama 13.1 PPG (3^rd) > Auburn 16.6 PPG (10^th)

Passing defense: Alabama 169.5 YPG (10^th) > Auburn 208.4 YPG (46^th)

Rushing defense: Alabama 112.5 YPG (17^th) > Auburn 142.3 YPG (43^rd)

Turnover Margin Per Game: Alabama +1.0 (5^th) > Auburn +0.7 (21^st)

Strength of Schedule:

Auburn is (7-4) with wins over #6 Washington, Alabama State, Arkansas, Southern Mississippi, Ole Miss, #20 Texas A&M, and Liberty.  They were defeated by #12 LSU, Mississippi State, Tennessee, and #5 Georgia.

Alabama is a perfect (11-0) with victories over Louisville, Arkansas State, Ole Miss, #22 Texas A&M, Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, #3 LSU, #16 Mississippi State, and The Citadel.

Betting Trends: 

-Auburn is 5-5 against the spread this season while Alabama is 7-3.

-Auburn is 2-8 against the over/under this season whereas Alabama is 6-4.

Bottom Line:

I expect Alabama to come out with revenge on their minds after being upset in last year’s Iron bowl.  This year, Alabama has the Heisman Trophy favorite Tua Tagovailoa who is on pace to set the single season record for passing efficiency.  Alabama has been steamrolling the competition as their smallest margin of victory has been 22 points.  The Crimson Tide have too many playmakers and a defense that has allowed 9.6 points per game over their last five games.

Alabama wins 33-13

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