Week 12 Arizona State vs Oregon Predictions and Breakdown with Lou Holtz and Mark May
EDITORIAL BY GRAYDON FOX
Overview:
On Saturday, November 17th, the (6-4) Arizona State Sun Devils will be on the road to take on the (6-4) Oregon Ducks.
The Crowd:
The Crowd projects a final score of Oregon 33.1 – Arizona State 27.3 with an over/under of 60.4.
Lou Holtz and Mark May:
Lou is predicting a final score of Oregon 34 – Arizona State 28.
Mark is predicting a final score of Arizona State 29 – Oregon 26.
2018-19 Statistics (130 total teams):
Passing offense: Oregon 267.6 YPG > Arizona State 244.9 YPG
Rushing offense: Arizona State 195.0 YPG > Oregon 171.6 YPG
Scoring offense: Oregon 36.0 PPG > Arizona State 29.9 PPG
Scoring defense: Arizona State 23.0 PPG > Oregon 28.0 PPG
Passing defense: Arizona State 232.0 YPG > Oregon 250.5 YPG
Rushing defense: Oregon 152.1 YPG > Arizona State 153.2 YPG
Turnover Margin Per Game: Arizona State +0.4 = Oregon +0.4
Summary:
Arizona State is (6-4) with wins over UTSA, #15 Michigan State, Oregon State, USC, #15 Utah, and UCLA. They were defeated by San Diego State, #10 Washington, #21 Colorado, and Stanford. Arizona State has won three straight including last week’s 31-28 victory over UCLA. The Sun Devils rank 61st in points per game (29.9) and 41st in scoring defense (23.0 PPG). Quarterback Manny Wilkins has completed 65% of his passes for 2,449 yards with 16 touchdowns to 4 interceptions. Eno Benjamin is the nation’s third leading rusher with 1,295 yards to go along with his 12 touchdowns. N’Keal Harry is one of the best receivers in the nation with 928 yards and 9 touchdowns. The Sun Devils’ defense ranks 69th against the pass (232.0 YPG) and 56th against the run (153.2 YPG).
Oregon is (6-4) with victories over Bowling Green, Portland State, San Jose State, #24 California, #7 Washington, and UCLA. They were defeated by #7 Stanford, #25 Washington State, Arizona, and Utah. Oregon has lost three of their last four including last week’s 32-25 defeat at the hands of the Utah Utes. The Ducks rank 25th in points per game (36.0) and 73rd in scoring defense (28.0 PPG). Quarterback Justin Herbert could be the first signal caller taken in next April’s NFL Draft. Herbert has completed 59% of his passes for 2,621 yards with 25 touchdowns to 6 interceptions. C.J. Verdell has rushed for 718 yards and 5 touchdowns. Dillon Mitchell is the nation’s seventh leading receiver with 1,002 yards and 8 touchdowns. The Ducks’ defense ranks 95th against the pass (250.5 YPG) and 54th against the run (152.1 YPG).
Bottom Line:
Oregon has lost three of their last four games and have allowed 32.8 points per game in that stretch. The Ducks allowed 232 rushing yards in the loss to Utah last week and will have their hands full trying to stop Eno Benjamin. Herm Edwards has Arizona State playing inspired right now and they are catching Oregon at just the right time for an upset.
Arizona State wins 33-30
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