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Overview:

On Tuesday, February 27^th, the (34-25) Washington Wizards will be on the road to take on the (33-26) Milwaukee Bucks.

The Crowd:  

“The Crowd” is projecting a final score of Bucks 106.1 – Wizards 99.0 with an over/under of 205.1.

Statistics (2017-18 season):

Point differential: Wizards +1.6 (9^th) > Bucks +0.0 (17^th)

Points per game: Wizards 107.4 (11^th) > Bucks 104.9 (17^th)

Points allowed per game: Bucks 104.9 (11^th) > Wizards 105.8 (15^th)

Field Goal Percentage Offense: Bucks 47.8% (5^th) > Wizards 46.8 (8^th)

Three Point Percentage: Wizards 36.9% (8^th) > Bucks 35.2% (24^th)

Field Goal Percentage Defense: Wizards 45.8% (13^th) > Bucks 46.4% (19^th)

Turnovers committed per game: Bucks 13.1 (8^th) > Wizards 13.7 (15^th)

Turnovers forced per game: Bucks 14.6 (6^th) = Wizards 14.6 (6^th)

Rebounds per game: Wizards 42.8 (20^th) > Bucks 39.5 (30^th)

Assists per game: Wizards 24.4 (5^th) > Bucks 22.5 (17^th)

Summary:

Washington will be without their all-star point guard John Wall (19.4 PPG and 9.3 APG) who remains sidelined with a knee injury.  The Wizards have played surprisingly well in Wall’s absence going (9-3).  Bradley Beal is having a career season (23.7 PPG and 4.3 APG) and has picked up much of the scoring load of late.  Both Otto Porter (14.5 PPG) and Kelly Oubre (11.7 PPG) have emerged as quality “3 and D” wing players.  The Wizards lack an interior presence and don’t receive much scoring from their frontcourt.  Washington has one of the better starting units in the league but their bench ranks 18^th in scoring (34.9).  The Wizards average 107.4 points per game (11^th) and allow 105.8 (15^th).

Milwaukee is (6-4) in their last ten games and recently got forward Jabari Parker back.  Parker (9.3 PPG) suffered his second serious knee injury late last season and remains on a minute restriction.  Giannis Antetokounmpo (27.8 PPG, 10.4 RPG, and 4.8 APG) has carried the Bucks for the majority of the season and is a legitimate MVP candidate.  It really is amazing to watch Antetokounmpo who leads the NBA averaging 16.4 PPG in the paint.  Khris Middleton (20.0 PPG) has been very steady and is definitely a candidate for comeback player of the year.  I loved the mid-season addition of Eric Bledsoe (17.4 PPG and 4.6 APG) who has played very well for Milwaukee.  The Bucks are the weakest rebounding team in the NBA this season.  The Bucks average 104.9 points per game (17^th) and allow 104.9 (11^th).

Bottom Line:

The Bucks are (19-11) at home this season while the Wizards are (17-14) on the road.  Milwaukee is (2-1) against Washington this season.  The Wizards have played great basketball with John Wall sitting out but the Bucks are one of the best defensive teams in the league.  Milwaukee often gets exposed on the glass but the Wizards don’t have any dominant big men.  I’m taking the Bucks to win and cover the (-7.1) spread at home.

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