Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers: Game Three – What is “The Crowd” Saying?
Jan 2, 2014; Miami, FL, USA; Golden State Warriors point guard Stephen Curry (right) greets teammate Golden State Warriors shooting guard Klay Thompson (left) during the second half against the Miami Heat at American Airlines Arena. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports
NBA Finals: Golden State Warriors @ Cleveland Cavaliers, 9:00pm ET on ABC
Golden State leads the series 2-0.
Cleveland hopes to survive. Warriors may dominate.
A slight majority (52.1%) of the Crowd favor Cleveland at home, but the Crowd’s equal weighted line still skews toward Golden State. In the scatter plot of predictions below you can see that this happens because even though most people think the Cavs will win, they think it will only happen by a few points. On the other hand, the Warriors have the potential to put together another blow out. Klay and Steph are due for a big game. We’ve had a phenomenal 10-3 run taking the under when more than 70% of the Crowd agrees. The line has been moved down for the last three games, but 68% still think it is too high.
Good luck tonight!
Spread, Total and Moneyline Crowd sentiment
Bookmaker prices versus Crowd sentiment.
| bookmakers ( 3:00pm ET ) | What the Crowd is saying? | |||
| CLE | GS | |||
| spread | +1.5 | -1.5 | CLE +1.5 | weak (52.1%) |
| moneyline | -110 | -110 | – | no value |
| total | 205.0 | under | strong ( 66.8% ) | |
Crowd sentiment going into tonight’s game across all wagers.
| under 205.0 | over 205.0 | total | |
| CLE wins | 33.9% | 17.4% | 51.3% |
| GS by < 1.5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| GS by > 1.5 | 32.3% | 15.6% | 47.9% |
| total | 66.8% | 33.2% | 100.0% |
Crowd prediction distributions
