Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers: Game Four – What is “The Crowd” Saying?
Jun 8, 2016; Cleveland, OH, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers forward LeBron James (23) prepares to shoot the ball as Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) and guard Klay Thompson (11) defend during the four quarter in game three of the NBA Finals at Quicken Loans Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
2016 NBA Finals: Golden State Warriors @ Cleveland Cavaliers, 9:00pm ET on ABC
Golden State leads the series 2-1.
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After one loss to the Cavs there is now a lot of noise about problems that Golden State might be facing. There has been a spike in speculation on Curry’s knee in particular ( chart below ). The Crowd thinks that the Warriors are going to show up and battle tonight. No more blowouts. It’s Game 4 – the series can start now.
The Crowd is split pretty much 50-50 with a slight lean toward Golden State to win. The line has pushed all the way up to CLE -2.5 on some books, but he Crowd still does not see big value in taking the points. We’ve had a 10-3 run taking the under when more than 70% of the Crowd agrees. This is lining up once again with 74.4% of the Crowd implying the under. Game 3 went over, but it was garbage ball for the last eight minutes or so.
Good luck tonight!
Spread, Total and Moneyline Crowd sentiment
Bookmaker prices versus Crowd sentiment.
| bookmakers ( 1:00pm ET ) | What the Crowd is saying? | |||
| GS | CLE | |||
| spread | +2.0 | -2.0 | GS -2.0 | medium (55.4%) |
| moneyline | -110 | -110 | GS | weak (5.3% ROI) |
| total | 207.0 | under | strong ( 74.4% ) | |
Crowd sentiment going into tonight’s game across all wagers.
| under 207.0 | over 207.0 | total | |
| GS wins | 38.9% | 14.0% | 52.9% |
| CLE by < 2.0 | 2.2% | 0.2% | 2.4% |
| CLE by > 2.0 | 33.3% | 11.3% | 44.6% |
| total | 74.4% | 25.6% | 100.0% |
