MLB - 9 years ago

MLB: Washington Nationals at New York Mets ($50 Prize!)

"The Crowd" has Washington as (-1.6) favorites

Oct 4, 2015; New York City, NY, USA; Washington Nationals right fielder Bryce Harper (34) hits a double in the ninth inning against the New York Mets at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports
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On Thursday, July 7th, the (50-33) Washington Nationals will be on the road to take on the (44-37) New York Mets.  “The Crowd” projects a final score of Nationals 5.0 – Mets 3.4 with an over/under of 8.4.  The Mets are (23-16) at home this season whereas the Nationals are (24-20) on the road.  The Nationals are (7-3) in their last ten games while the Mets are (6-4).

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Starting Pitchers: NYM- Colon (7-4, 2.87) vs WAS- TBD

Batting Stats:

Runs Scored: Nationals 394 (11th) Mets 308 (28th)

Batting Average: Nationals .253 (17th) Mets .238 (27th)

On Base Percentage: Nationals .328 (12th) Mets .310 (24th)

Total Bases: Nationals 1214 (10th) Mets 1109 (23rd)

Stolen Bases: Nationals 50 (11th) Mets 15 (29th)

Pitching Stats:

Team Earned Run Average: Mets 3.30 (2nd) Nationals 3.31 (3rd)

Batting Average Against: .232 Nationals (3rd) Mets .251 (11th)

Walks/Hits Per Innings Pitched: Nationals 1.15 (3rd) Mets 1.23 (6th)

Strikeouts: Nationals 788 (1st) Mets 692 (9th)

Saves: Mets 29 (3rd) Nationals 22 (15th)

Fielding Stats:

Errors: Nationals 29 (1st) Mets 43 (11th)

Summary:

On paper the Nationals have the advantage in most of the major statistical categories.  Obviously the starter for Washington will play a big factor in their percentage chance of winning.  As for the Mets the ageless wonder Bartolo Colon has pitched very well this season.  Colon has held the Nationals hitters to just a .260 average against and Bryce Harper is only hitting .188 off of Colon.  This should be a low scoring game dominated by great pitching and defense.  Washington leads the league in fewest errors made and have a much more potent offense than the Mets.  I like the Nationals to win on the road.

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Nationals win 5-3

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