Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors: Game of the Day – What is “The Crowd” Saying?
By: Chris Higginson
Mar 4, 2015; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Cleveland Cavaliers forward Kevin Love (0) tries to dribble around Toronto Raptors forward Patrick Patterson (54) at the Air Canada Centre. Cleveland defeated Toronto 120-112. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
Cleveland (2) @ Toronto (0), Game 3
My pick: take Cleveland and give the points.
Las Vegas: Cleveland -5.5
Hot Hand [ sit it out – too close to call – negative expected value with average spread]
- The Crowd’s Line
- Equal weighting [ take Toronto and the points ]
- crowd size: 368 predictions
- spread line: Cleveland -5.1
- standard deviation of spread line: 8.8
- expected value of $1 bet is $.03
- Experts on Toronto and Cleveland ( top 10% spread pickers over last three games for the two teams)
- spread line: Cleveland -5.6
- standard deviation of spread line: 11.8
- expected value of $1 bet: -$0.023 ( that’s right, negative. awful )
Contest Leaders [ take Cleveland and give the points ]
- Leaders of The Crowd’s Line Cleveland vs Toronto series contest.
- spread line: Cleveland -8.3
- standard deviation of spread line: 7.3
- expected value of $1 bet: $.09
| source | crowd | Hot hand | Contest lead | Computer model | Crowd by Wager | Analyst |
| The Crowd’s Line | TOR | Sit it out | CLE | |||
| SportsLine | TOR | CLE | CLE | |||
| ESPN | TOR | CLE | ||||
| Covers | CLE | TOR | CLE | |||
| Vegas Insider | CLE | |||||
| OddsShark | CLE | CLE | CLE | |||
| YahooSports | CLE to win |
