Crowdsourced Expert Analysis – College and Pro Football – Games of the Week (Week 14)
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Saturday, November 30:
1. Alabama @ Auburn – 3:30 PM ET
- 82% of the Experts like ALA to WIN with a MONEYLINE of -170
- 64% of the Experts like ALA to COVER the -4 POINT SPREAD
- 59% of the Experts like the OVER with the OU set at 50
- The Play: I like ALA to WIN and COVER – Medium to Large in size. I would go with 75% of the bet on the ALA MONEYLINE and 25% on the COVER.
2. Ohio State @ Michigan – 12:00 PM ET
- 73% of the Experts like OSU to WIN with a MONEYLINE of -355
- 53% of the Experts like OSU to COVER the –9 POINT SPREAD
- 80% of the Experts like the OVER with the OU set at 51.5
- The Play: 27% of the Experts like MICH to win with a MONEYLINE of +295 (25.32% implied win probability) – which represents great value. 67% Like MICH to COVER. That’s good enough for me. Based on the Experts, I like MICH to COVER 75% of a bet – and 25% of a bet on the MICH MONEYLINE – Large in size.
3. Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State – 8:00 PM ET
- 100% of the Experts like OU to WIN with a MONEYLINE of -475
- 75% of the Experts like OKST to COVER the -12.5 POINT SPREAD
- 69% of the Experts like the OVER with the OU set at 69.5
- The Play: I like OKST to Cover the +12.5 Point Spread – Medium Size
4. Wisconsin @ Minnesota – 3:30 PM ET
- The Experts are split 50/50 on the WIN and the MONEYLINE: WIS -130 and MIN +110
- 57% of the Experts like MIN to COVER the +2.5 POINT SPREAD
- 80% of the Experts like the OVER with the OU set at 47.5
- The Play: I like MIN to COVER and WIN. Large to Medium in size.
Thursday, November 28:
5. Bills @ Cowboys – 4:30 PM ET
- 60% of the Experts like DAL to WIN with a MONEYLINE of -290
- 62% of the Experts like BUF to COVER the –7 POINT SPREAD
- The Experts are split 50/50 on the OU set at 45
- The Play: Based on the Experts – 40% of which like BUF to win outright with a MONEYLINE of +245 (29% implied win probability) – I like BUF to Cover 75% Bet at -7 and 25% on the BUF MONEYLINE at +245. Medium to Large in size.
Sunday, December 1:
6. 49ers @ Ravens – 1:00 PM ET
- The Experts are split 50/50 on the WIN and the MONEYLINE SF +178, BAL -222
- 95% of the Experts like SF to COVER the -4.5 POINT SPREAD
- 60% of the Experts like the UNDER with the OU set at 46
- The Play: BAL is rolling. That said, it is a short week for them. Just from a probability perspective I will take SF to COVER 75% and the SF MONEYLINE 25% – Large in Size.
7. Browns @ Steelers – 1:00 PM ET
- 59% of the Experts like CLE to WIN with a MONEYLINE of -125
- 59% of the Experts like CLE to COVER the -1.5 POINT SPREAD
- 67% of the Experts like the OVER with the OU set at 45.5
- The Play: I like CLE to WIN – MONEYLINE -125 – Small to Medium in size
8. Patriots @ Texans – 8:20 PM ET
- 83% of the Experts like NE to WIN with a MONEYLINE of -160
- 53% of the Experts like NE to COVER the -3.5 POINT SPREAD
- 73% of the Experts like the OVER with the OU set at 44.5
- The Play: I like the OVER – medium to large in size.
