WEEK 10 – Georgia vs Kentucky Breakdown with Lou Holtz and Mark May
EDITORIAL BY GRAYDON FOX
Overview:
On Saturday, November 3rd, the (7-1) Georgia Bulldogs will be on the road to take on the (7-1) Kentucky Wildcats.
The Crowd:
The Crowd projects a final score of Georgia 31.9 – Kentucky 22.7 with an over/under of 55.4.
Lou Holtz and Mark May:
Lou is predicting a final score of Georgia 27 – Kentucky 14.
Mark is predicting a final score of Kentucky 24 – Florida State 14.
2018-19 Statistics (130 total teams):
Passing offense: Georgia 236.1 YPG > Kentucky 148.1 YPG
Rushing offense: Georgia 221.6 YPG > Kentucky 214.0 YPG
Scoring offense: Georgia 38.6 PPG > Kentucky 25.6 PPG
Scoring defense: Kentucky 13.0 PPG > Georgia 16.4 PPG
Passing defense: Georgia 165.6 YPG > Kentucky 186.8 YPG
Rushing defense: Kentucky 108.5 YPG > Georgia 140.5 YPG
Turnover Margin Per Game: Georgia +0.7 > Kentucky 0.0
Summary:
Georgia is (7-1) with wins over Austin Peay, #24 South Carolina, Middle Tennessee, Missouri, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, and #9 Florida. Their lone defeat was a 36-16 road loss to #13 LSU in week seven. Georgia is coming off a very impressive 36-17 victory over #9 Florida despite turning the ball over three times. The Bulldogs rank 20th in points per game (38.6) and 12th in scoring defense (16.4 PPG). Quarterback Jake Fromm has completed 67% of his passes for 1,649 yards with 16 touchdowns to 4 interceptions. Running backs Elijah Holyfield and D’Andre Smith have combined for 1,025 yards and 9 touchdowns. Georgia, as a team, is averaging 5.6 yards per carry. The Bulldogs’ defense ranks 9th against the pass (165.6 YPG) and 43rd against the run (140.5 YPG). Georgia ranks 18th in turnover margin (+0.7).
Kentucky is (7-1) with victories over Central Michigan, #25 Florida, Murray State, #14 Mississippi State, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, and Missouri. Their one loss was a 20-14 overtime defeat to the Texas A&M Aggies. Kentucky scored on the final play to pull off an incredible 15-14 win over Missouri last week. The Wildcats rank 93rd in points per game (25.6) and 1st in scoring defense (13.0 PPG). Quarterback Terry Wilson has completed 65% of his passes for 988 yards with 5 touchdowns to 6 interceptions. Wilson is the team’s second leading rusher with 406 yards and 3 touchdowns. Kentucky has arguably the best running back in the country, Benny Snell Jr., who has rushed for 935 yards and 9 touchdowns. The Wildcats’ defense ranks 24th against the pass (186.8 YPG) and 17th against the run (108.5 YPG).
Bottom Line:
Georgia has won eight straight games against Kentucky but this is the strongest Wildcats team in years. Nobody can stop Benny Snell Jr., but Georgia has the personnel to slow him down. Kentucky’s passing game leaves a lot to be desired and Terry Wilson has been turnover prone. Kentucky’s defense is legitimate, but I think the Georgia running game can wear them out over the course of the game.
Georgia wins 28-20
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