NCAA Basketball - 9 years ago

#11 Louisville at #4 Virginia ($50 Prize!)

UPDATE: THE WINNER OF THE $50 AMAZON GIFT CARD IS tomnb***@gmail.com CONGRATULATIONS!

Feb 7, 2015; Charlottesville, VA, USA; Virginia Cavaliers guard Malcolm Brogdon (15) shoots the ball as Louisville Cardinals forward/center Chinanu Onuaku (32) looks on in the first half at John Paul Jones Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
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On Saturday, March, 5th at 8:30 P.M. the #11 Louisville Cardinals will be on the road to take on the #4 Virginia Cavaliers.  “The Crowd” projects a final score of Virginia 73.7 – Louisville 71.0 with an over/under of 144.7.  The Cardinals are (22-7) on the season whereas the Cavaliers are (22-6).

Scoring Margin: Louisville +15.4 (3rd) Virginia +10.8 (27th)

Points per game: Louisville 76.6 (94th) Virginia 71 (tied for 230th)

Points allowed per game: Virginia 60.2 (3rd) Louisville 61.2 (7th)

Field Goal Percentage Offense: Virginia 49.2% (10th) Louisville 47.9% (27th)

Three Point Percentage: Virginia 40.3% (11th) Louisville 36.2% (104th)

Free Throw Percentage: Virginia 75.7% (17th) Louisville 68.6% (224th)

Field Goal Percentage Defense: Louisville 38.8% (10th) Virginia 42.1% (104th)

Turnovers committed per game: Virginia 9.4 (5th) Louisville 11.6 (65th)

Turnovers forced per game: Louisville 14.3 (64th) Virginia 12.1 (232nd)

Rebounds per game: Louisville 38.6 (64th) Virginia 31.9 (325th)

Assists per game: Virginia 14.7 (92nd) Louisville 13.8 (144th)

Both teams are (3-2) in their last five games.  Virginia has the slight advantage in most of the major statistical categories.  Virginia won the prior match-up 63-47 on the road.  I like Virginia to win again at home in a much closer game.

Louisville has signature wins over three ranked teams: Pittsburgh, North Carolina, and Duke.  They were defeated by ranked Michigan State, Kentucky, Virginia, and Miami while also losing to unranked Duke, Texas, and Notre Dame.  Virginia has signature wins over five ranked teams: West Virginia, Louisville, Villanova, Miami, and North Carolina.  They were defeated by one ranked opponent in Miami while also losing to George Washington, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Florida State, and Duke.

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Virginia wins 68-62

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